Chadema has also struggled to put itself on the right side of popular issues or set the terms of debate. A protracted global health crisis that continues in 2021 could undermine global demand and thus the Tanzanian economy. Democracy is based on all people having the same rights and having the country ruled by the people. Women listen to a radio election broadcast in Zanzibar, Tanzania. Dr Dan Paget is an academic studying political communication, rallies, discourse, ground campaigns and parties in Tanzania. The Assessment Mission was in the country from 13-19 September 2010. In line with usual practice, the Secretary-General sent an Assessment Mission to Tanzania to assess the prevailing situation as well as the pre-electoral environment, prior to his final decision on whether to constitute a Commonwealth Observer Group. On the first, opposition parties struggle against the odds to win the vote. It is resisting the normalisation of its candidates’ exclusion and highlighting electoral manipulation ahead of 2020. In this Africa Seminar, we welcome the three keynote […] Tigray: Why are soldiers attacking religious heritage sites? Losing the debate in the – unfree – national media does not mean losing it on the street. In fact, CCM young prince January Makamba used similar arguments on the eve of the 2015 elections. As well as taking part in the Tanzanian elections, voters on the semi-autonomous archipelago of Zanzibar were also electing their own president, and … ThisAct shallapply-(a) in the case of Mainland Tanzania, in respect of If results mirror parties’ support in previous votes, they may be judged free of manipulation. In the two decades preceding democratic change in South Africa, the region easily earned the honour of being one of the most violent on the African continent. In authoritarian regimes, elections can be fought on two levels. This uncertainty makes commentaries fraught with judgements and guesswork, including this one. The truth is that we cannot know with confidence how popular or unpopular CCM and the opposition are in Tanzania today. Get the free edition of our exclusive look at this week’s most important developments on the continent. endobj REVIEW: Factions, fear and fighters – the story of Angola’s forgotten massacre – By Keith Somerville, Rwanda is eating its own (aka why you should read Do Not Disturb). The opposition believes it can win, but analysts doubt elections will be free and fair. This makes local elections a rare indicator of party popularity, which raises the stakes. They have tied up activists and opposition politicians in numerous legal actions, threatened opposition party ACT-Wazalendo with deregistration, and intensified low-level long-standing practices of violence and harassment. Shortly after the move was announced, Local Government Minister Selemani Jafo directed disqualified candidates to be reinstated, only to overturn his own order the following day. final observation report on the general elections held in tanzania on october 28, 2020 Tanzania identifies itself as a democracy. 2. Chadema, NCCR-Mageuzi, and CUF are some other opposition parties represented in the National Assembly Impact of COVID-19 on Africa, Elections in Tanzania - Shaka: Extra TimeShaka: Extra Time. Ahead of the 2015 general elections, they announced a boycott of a constitutional referendum, which was subsequently shelved. But if the current socioeconomic and political trends remain unchanged the country is unlikely to make any headway in the politi- cal transition for the foreseeable future. The results of this are hard to gauge, but researcher Aikande Kwayu argues that the party’s organisation has grown stronger, not weaker. If this is the case, it would explain why CCM feels the need to take the desperate step of mass-disqualifying Chadema candidates. The Commonwealth Observer Group for the 31 October General Elections … Its legacy must not. Elections give the power to the people and enable them to choose their leaders who make decisions on their behalf. The election was characterized by substantial violence between state security forces and opposition supporters. x��TKo�@�#����wg_�E"��T6�R�F=$IuI]���#[ ��������>���l�sWWp=����; 2��1$�$x�d58#�C� O��"n�u��nw�>�.��s_��6��h�i��i��*�=Cu����n���v��_��9�vF���mhW$��$��pD��� k�E��X��$����3XG(H���4�Ic��F�RH�]7�)��KZ),�2_�������c6��jM�/�.��f���F���?��:�1 ���„�Z�3T8��î��S�#!��"�D���3�Ѣ��e-�s؃���������5��T�!_e �F�a���N�i�. The House of Representatives, which consists of 360 members and the Senate with 109 members. Such elections can be conducted successfully if important lessons are taken seriously and implemented. I spent almost a year in Tanzania studying campaigning for the 2015 election. In 2018, regional think-tank Twaweza reported survey results showing a precipitous fall in President Magufuli’s popularity. The opposition claimed that alleged concerns over irregularities were fabricated and boycotted the re-run of the vote in 2016. While the struggle is quixotic, it may not be futile. “We can’t go home”: What does peace mean for Eritrea’s refugees? South Africa ... Lady in Pink: Victoire Ingabire faces her judges in appeal – By Kris Berwouts. Election Expenses (2) This Act shall come into operation on such date as theMinister may,bynotice inthe Gazette, appoint. I witnessed Chadema’s vigorous ground campaign in which it canvassed as many, if not more, people than CCM. Surveys are also scarce and likely to become scarcer. Centre of African Studies invites you to join the Africa Seminar titled “Covid-19 and Political elections in Africa: General trends and the case of Ghana and Tanzania” where a roundtable will discuss the short-term political implication related to election process during 2020 in selected African countries. Credit: UNDP. Women listen to a radio election broadcast in Zanzibar, Tanzania. stream General elections were held in Tanzania on 31 October 2010. Tanzania’s ruling party candidate has been declared the winner of a controversial presidential election marred by claims of vote rigging and fears of violence. General Elections. In fact, Chadema’s boycott almost bounced CCM into quick concessions. %���� The ruling CCM is accused of electoral manipulation – which they deny – but this is just the tip of iceberg. Tanzania has a dominant-party system with Chama Cha Mapinduzi in power (Status 2020). This might lower expectations of the vote-share they would garner in subsequent elections. Elections in these countries are a tightrope walk between war and peace, stability and instability. Tanzania’s local elections are an important prequel to the 2020 national elections – in more ways than one. The current economic outlook is highly uncertain, and risks are tilted to the downside. However, to presuppose incidents like these translate into opposition unpopularity falsely equate high politics with popular politics. This programme has been invoked to undermine the opposition and legitimise authoritarianism. The state of opposition’s actual popularity is difficult to ascertain, though many signs suggest it has fallen since 2015. There are few credible measures of parties’ popularity in Tanzania, where survey respondents systematically under-report support for the opposition. This came after the main opposition Chadema claimed 94% of its candidates had been disqualified on spurious grounds. 1 0 obj One reason, I believe, is that the opposition has one eye on late-2020 when Tanzania will hold simultaneous presidential, parliamentary and councillor elections. The National Assembly is divided into two chambers and elected for a 4-year term. Voters in Tanzania have cast ballots in elections overshadowed by opposition allegations of “widespread irregularities”, including ballot-box stuffing, amid a massive internet slowdown. Because direct democracy —a form of government in which political decisions are made directly by the entire body of qualified citizens—is impractical in most modern societies, democratic government must … elections have been conducted according to the standards for democratic elections to which Tanzania has committed itself, with reference to national election-related legislation and relevant regional, Commonwealth and other international commitments. <>/XObject<>/ProcSet[/PDF/Text/ImageB/ImageC/ImageI] >>/MediaBox[ 0 0 595.32 841.92] /Contents 4 0 R/Group<>/Tabs/S/StructParents 0>> Elections make a fundamental contribution to democratic governance. Tanzania's National Election Commission (NEC) chairman Semistocles Kaijage dismissed the reports of pre-ticked ballots as false and advised citizens to ignore them. Senegal: Impunity for Macky Sall’s regime must end, Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 4.0 International License. 3 0 obj <>>> Tanzanian President John Magufuli’s government has built up a formidable arsenal of laws to stifle all forms of dissent and effectively clamp down on the rights to freedom of expression and peaceful assembly ahead of elections on 28 October, Amnesty International said as they launched the report Lawfare – Repression by Law Ahead of Tanzania’s General Elections today. He is based at the Department of Political Science, University College London. Tanzania: What the Upcoming General Election Holds in Store | OneForAllMedia said, August 25, 2020 at 12:15 am […] the last general election in 2015, a united opposition coalition made significant gains. The presidential election was won by incumbent John Magufuli of the Chama Cha Mapinduzi party. 4 0 obj UNITED REPUBLIC OF TANZANIA GENERAL ELECTIONS, 2020 PRELIMINARY STATEMENT . Soon enough, Twaweza and its executive director Aidan Eyakuze became the subjects of state harassment. Tanzania’s history of peaceful multi-party elections stretching back 25 years has made it a model on the continent. When President John Magufuli came to office in 2015, he embraced that agenda and came to personify it. INTRODUCTION Tanzania will later this year conduct its fourth multiparty general elections. 1. The opposition could cry foul, but CCM could argue that their landslide victory was consistent with the recent local election results. There have been a number of success stories in the past two decades. Under the mandate of the East African Community, I have been honored to lead the EAC Election Observer Mission to the United Republic of Tanzania General Elections that took place on 28 th October, 2020. In Tanzania’s general elections in October 2015, initial results suggested the opposition Civic United Front (CUF) had won on the island when the electoral commission – under pressure from the ruling Chama Cha Mapinduzi (CCM) – suddenly annulled the process. Even if the global health crisis is contained, additional trade and … Imagine further that the 2020 elections were manipulated. These boycotts have punctuated protests which have escalated since 2016. Many initially thought that COVID-19 … This program has ended and is being processed for playback. Political uncertainty surrounding general elections may also be contributing to a delay in private investment this year. Its tradition of competitive political contest and inclusion, built since the restoration of multipartyism 25 years ago, has recently suffered severe setbacks because of shrinking civic space and low tolerance for political plurality. They will be read as an indication of parties’ popularity, which will inform analyses of how plausible future elections results are. Under Tanzania's electoral rules, the winning candidate requires a simple majority to become president. In the 2015 national elections, former president Kikwete of the Chama Cha Mapinduzi (CCM) party stepped down due to constitutionally mandated term limits. On the federal level, Nigeria elects a president and a legislative body (the National Assembly). If opposition parties expose the system as unfair, they may mobilise popular resistance against the regime, win sympathy abroad, or even edge the regime towards liberalising reforms. In the 2000 general elections, Zanzibar political activists, notably those of the locally dominant opposition CUF, accused the CCM, and by implication the government, of administering the poll in a manner biased toward the CCM. 2 0 obj The conduct of the upcoming elections in Tanzania has important consequences not only for Tanzania, but for the entire East African region. Tanzania – Ahead of Elections I. For instance, imagine that opposition parties participated in the forthcoming local elections in spite of the exclusion of its candidates and did poorly. Tanzanians go to the polls on Wednesday to elect a new president. President Magufuli appropriated opposition agendas and wove them into a programme of resource nationalism and anti-corruption. <> Momentarily, it seems, CCM wavered. endobj The 2005 General Elections in Tanzania † page 1 Paper 122 † February 2006 INTRODUCTION Southern Africa is a region that has historically experienced civil and military conflict. In 2016, they refused to participate in the re-run of elections in semi-autonomous Zanzibar. The election is a pretty important democratic process and the most important expression democracy. Meanwhile, murmurs of discontent have surfaced in some quarters about Chairman Freeman Mbowe’s leadership of the party. Other forms of government like dictatorships do not have this option. By boycotting the local elections, the opposition is intensifying its struggle on this second level. 94% of its candidates had been disqualified, directed disqualified candidates to be reinstated, a precipitous fall in President Magufuli’s popularity, canvassed as many, if not more, people than CCM. Others will now think twice before publishing polls. The pandemic has set gender equality back. Tanzania’s 2010 general election: • prepare and distribute tactile ballot papers to all polling stations for people with visual impairment to cast their votes secretly; • train election supervisors on how to assist people with disabilities when they come to cast their votes at the polling stations; General elections were held in Tanzania on 28 October 2020 to elect the President and National Assembly. This paper examines the attitudes of voters towards elections in Tanzania following an observed trend of having a great proportion of registered voters who did not vote in the General Elections in 1995, 2000, 2005, 2010 and 2015 respectively. Even if their candidates had not been systematically excluded, the whole process would still have been heavily stacked against them. According to Tanzania’s election authority, more than 29 million people have registered to vote. Africa Insiders: DR Congo’s Terminator won’t be ... Elite ANC politics has failed. As Africa gets set to host a dozen presidential or general elections in 2020, leaders seeking to evade term limits, democratic resiliency in the face of armed conflict, and the increasingly overt efforts by external actors to shape outcomes emerge as recurring themes. This echoed a similar stand-off in 2001. Since then, under the weight of CCM’s oppression, Chadema has doubled-down on its local organising. %PDF-1.5 CCM used to command an unparalleled party machinery that reached every village, but it now has a parallel. But there is no iron law according to which elections are doomed to fail. <> Opposition parties have entered and then boycotted secondary elections in anticipation of national ones before. Evolution of elections management in Tanzania A. S. Norman 1,2,3 *, O. M. Mdegella 4 and R. M. Lubawa 4 1 Moshi University College of Cooperative and Business Studies (MUCCoBS), P. O. The presidential elections were won by the incumbent President Jakaya Kikwete of the Chama Cha Mapinduzi party (CCM), who received 63% of the vote. On the other, they struggle with the regime over the legitimacy of elections. Kikwete was succeeded by minister of works and CCM candidate John Magufuli after a closely contested election on the mainland. Last week, Tanzania’s leading opposition parties announced that they would be boycotting the local elections scheduled for 24 November. Because of this, elections are essential. It also provides another answer to the question of “why does the opposition participate at all?” Where there is uncertainty, there is possibility, so there is hope.
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